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Wave analysis and forecast

EUR/USD: Wave analysis and forecast of 10.01 – 17.01: The pair is likely to decline.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.3884.

My opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.3884 with the target of 1.33 – 1.32.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown of the level of 1.3884 will enable the price to continue growth to the level of 1.40.

Analysis: Presumably, lead-in impetus in the first wave has been formed. Locally, it is assumed that upward correction in the second wave is being formed. If this assumption is true, following completion of correction the pair will continue to decline to the levels of 1.33 – 1.32 within the third wave.

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 10.01 – 17.01: Uptrend maintains. Growth is likely to continue.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6210. 

Our opinion: Buy the pair on the pullbacks above the level of 1.6210 with the target of 1.66 - 1.6750.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown of the level of 1.6210 will enable the pair to continue corrective decline to the levels of 1.61 – 1.60.

Analysis: Presumably, the third wave of the uptrend of the higher level is being formed. Locally the first wave 1 of iii has completed; it is not excluded that downward correction as the wave 2 of iii has been formed. If this assumption is true, the pair will continue to grow, without breaking crucial level of 1.6210.

USD/CHF Wave analysis and forecast for 10.01 – 17.01: The pair is likely to grow. Long-term reversal is not excluded.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 0.8800.

Our opinion: Buy the pair above the level of 0.8800 with the target of 0.91 - 0.92.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation below the level 08800 will enable the pair to continue decline to the levels of 0.87 – 0.86.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the fifth wave of diagonal in wave с) of X of the large Zigzag on the weekly timeframe, has completed. At the moment ascending impetus has been formed as the lead-in wave. If this assumption is correct, following the completion of correction it makes sense to expect continuation of growth in the third wave.

USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast for 10.01 – 17.01: The pair is experiencing correction. Uptrend maintains.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 105.42.

Our opinion: In the short-term: sell the pair below the level of 105.42 with the target of 104.0 - 103.50. In the medium-term: wait for the completion of the downward correction. 

Alternative scenario: Breakdown of the level of 105. 42 will enable the pair to continue growth to the level of 106.0.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the extension in the third wave of the higher level 3 of (5) has completed. Locally, downward correction within the fourth wave 4 of (5) is being formed. If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to grow to the levels of 106.0 – 107.0.

USD/CAD Wave analysis and forecast for 10.01 – 17.01: Uptrend prevails. A chance of growth remains.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.0585.

Our opinion: In the short-term: sell the pair correction above the level of 1.07 with the target of 1.10. In the medium-term: wait for the completion of the ascending impetus.

Alternative scenario: Breakdout of the level of 1.0585 will enable the pair to continue decline to the level of 1.04, as part of correction throughout the entire growth wave.

Analysis: Rapid growth in the USD against the CAD has made reconsider wave analysis at the higher levels in favor of continuing growth. On the weekly timeframe it is possible that the third wave of global correction ABC is being formed. On the daily chart extension in the third wave (3) of 3 of C is likely to be formed. Locally, the formation of impetus as the first wave1 of (3) is nearing completion. If this assumption is true, it makes sense to expect long-term growth in the pair to the level of 1.17.

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