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Wave analysis and forecast

EUR/USD: Wave analysis and forecast of 10.01 – 17.01: The pair is likely to decline.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.3884. My opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.3884 with the target of 1.33 – 1.32. Alternative scenario: Breakdown of the level of 1.3884 will enable the price to continue growth to the level of 1.40. Analysis: Presumably, lead-in impetus in the first wave has been formed. Locally, it is assumed...

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Momentum Gathering for GBP/USD as Breakout Eyed Above 1.6260, 1.6355

Talking Points: - UK GDP came in line with expectations at +0.8% (q/q) and +1.5% (y/y). - Short covering rally in British Pound – every other major suffers. - Implications for GBPUSD breakout are of high significance. A scan of this morning’s best and worst performers via the Strong/Weak app shows that the British Pound is having an incredibly strong day, netting nearly +1000-pips cumulatively against the major currencies covered by DailyFX Research....

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GBPUSD Range-Bound Conditions Continue

Trading Setups / Chart in Focus: GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar stuck in trading range The GBPUSD is still stuck in a trading range between about 1.5900 – 1.6260. Until we break outside of this range one way or the other, or get a price action signal from one of the boundaries of the range, there’s not much to do. Price has shown strength this week off 1.5900 support and could challenge 1.6260 resistance again before moving lower. ...

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Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop Since Debt Ceiling Standoff Ends

Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop Since Debt Ceiling Standoff Ends We are a day away from the release of the 3Q US GDP release and two from the October NFPs – event risk that can materially alter FOMC taper forecasts and thereby the US dollar’s bearings. In the lead up, however, a lack of conviction and lingering volatility can create unusual trading conditions. The 0.1 percent slip from the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) marked...

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Weekly Forex Trading Forecast: Market Weighs Fed Taper, ECB Stimulus

US Dollar Forecast - US Dollar Ready for Further Gains, but What Stands in the Way? What a difference a week makes. The US Dollar surged versus the Euro and other major forex counterparts and the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index posted its single-largest weekly gain in 5 months. Euro Forecast – Euro Collapse Versus Dollar as Much an ECB Factor as Risk Trends The Euro was the worst performer of the majors – and the drop it suffered was nothing short...

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